The analysis blog bmpd.livejournal has published a table with the yearly deliveries of new combat and training aircraft to the Russian Armed Forces from 2008 to 2017. The data do not include updated aircraft. Since 2013 the acquisition rythm has been very significant, and has surpassed 100 per year. To give an idea, the Russian Aerospace Forces (VKS) plans to have ~700 combat aircraft.
In 2008 the only supplied aircraft was a single Su-34. On this year Russia was still recovering from the 1990s economical crisis, and up to this period, priority was given to modernisations and research. The peak in 2009 is caused by the 28 SMTs acquired and later rejected by Algeria.
In 2008 the only supplied aircraft was a single Su-34. On this year Russia was still recovering from the 1990s economical crisis, and up to this period, priority was given to modernisations and research. The peak in 2009 is caused by the 28 SMTs acquired and later rejected by Algeria.
Table 1: Supply of new combat and training aircraft (2008-2017).
The acquisition of Su-27SM3 and Su-30M2 was widely discussed because of the origin of these birds. The Su-27s could have been manufactured from components originally produced for China. In 1995 this country signed an agreement to produce under license 200 Su-27SKs, but it was cancelled in 2004. The upgrade to the SM3 variant is logical because the original version was obsolete.
The possible origin of the Su-30M3 is similar. The production is actually quite spread during several years. In 2016 the last ones were delivered. Nowadays they operate in 3 regiments (22, 23 and 38 IAP) belonging to different variants.
The other types are well know. It is likely that the deliveries have been adjusted to make room for export contracts and to take into account the economical crisis. In 2016 Russia exported 33 combat aircraft:
- 6 MiG-29K to India.
- 8 Su-30MKA to Algeria.
- 2 Su-30SM to Kazakhstan
- 4 Su-30MK2 to Vietnam.
- 4 Su-35 to China.
- 4 Yak-130 to Belarus
- 3 Yak-130 to Myanmar.
- 2 Yak-130 to Bangladesh.
The possible origin of the Su-30M3 is similar. The production is actually quite spread during several years. In 2016 the last ones were delivered. Nowadays they operate in 3 regiments (22, 23 and 38 IAP) belonging to different variants.
The other types are well know. It is likely that the deliveries have been adjusted to make room for export contracts and to take into account the economical crisis. In 2016 Russia exported 33 combat aircraft:
- 6 MiG-29K to India.
- 8 Su-30MKA to Algeria.
- 2 Su-30SM to Kazakhstan
- 4 Su-30MK2 to Vietnam.
- 4 Su-35 to China.
- 4 Yak-130 to Belarus
- 3 Yak-130 to Myanmar.
- 2 Yak-130 to Bangladesh.
In 2017 deliveries were reduced to 49. MiG-29SMT has been completed, and Yak-130s deliveries have slow down. Yakovlev have been working on an improved version, and several have been exported.
Deliveries of Il-76MD-90A have slowed down. A while ago the factory producing the type had to renegotiate the contract as it was losing money. Other deliveries were 1 Tu-204, 2 An-148-100 and 3 DA42T trainers. There will be no more deliveries of An-140-100 because the company producing them in Russia (privately owned Aviakor) has gone bankrupt.
In the next few years Flanker and Fulcrum will continue. Russia's State Armaments Program 2020 should include +20 MiG-35, and the contract should be signed this year. It will be interesting to see upgraded Su-34M for follow on contract.
The exports for 2017 were also 33:
- 15 MiG-29M/M2 to Egypt
- 6 Su-30MKA to Algeria
- 2 Su-30SM to Kazakhstan
- 10 Su-35 to China
- 3 Yak-130 to Myanmar
References:
- http://bmpd.livejournal.com/2358587.html
- http://www.easternorbat.com/html/russian_air_force_eng.html
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